With the recent fumbles regarding the roll-out of ObamaCare and its accompanying website, Obama has had a difficult time with approval ratings during his second term. More than just the mismanagement of Obama’s signature legislation, Obama has been hit from both sides for multiple issues, ranging from gun rights, to not holding campaign promises, to of course being a general scapegoat for when things in Government don’t work out.
English: In January 2009, President of the United States of America, George W. Bush invited then President-Elect Barack Obama and former Presidents George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton, and Jimmy Carter for a Meeting and Lunch at The White House. Photo taken in the Oval Office at The White House. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
This certainly is not new phenomenon, however. In fact, CNN has just posted an article discussing many of the “Second Term Woes” of our past presidents. With a list of political scandals and general screw-ups, political analysts have long pointed out the trend of declining popularity of our presidents during their second terms.
For example, before Obama Bush had to handle an increasingly unpopular war (that he sorta started and all) in Iraq and Afghanistan. Even more staining than the weariness of bad news emanating from the Middle East, the Bush administration dealt with a large public backlash for their “response” to Hurricane Katrina.
Clinton, of course, had his second term in office plagued with the Monica Lewinsky scandal and subsequent impeachment trials. Though he still got quite a bit done in the last few years of his presidency, Clinton’s presidency will forever be remembered for this.
Looking farther back, we might remember Reagan and the Iran-Contra scandal, Truman and the war in Korea, and the mother of all American political scandals; Nixon and Watergate.
So why is it that so many of our presidents, even ones that are remembered fondly, had so many issues in their second term?
Russell Riley, a presidential scholar and professor at the University of Virginia, has pointed to a few reasons why the popularity ratings for some of our past presidents declined in their final years.
One of the biggest reasons is a problem that plagues everyone, president or not. People get burnt out, and not just the president, but their entire team.
Clinton with President Barack Obama and Senior Advisor Valerie Jarrett in July 2010 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
The longer a President is in office, the more people get to know what they are and are not good at. Congress in particular likes to take advantage of a President’s weaknesses for their benefit. As David Nichols, Presidential historian and expert on Eisenhower, stated, “the longer presidents are around and when people get to know you well, they begin to know where your soft sports are.” More dirt begins to pile up on presidents the longer they stick around, as well.
The amount of time it takes for policies and changes to occur also effects popularity, which is particularly true of Obama. He made many bold promises during his first run for president, and while he has finished or at least is underway for some (Ending the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, obviously reforming healthcare, etc.), it has taken nearly 5 years for the ball to get rolling on a lot of these.
What is your opinion for Presidential second terms? Do you think Obama is going to regain the popularity he once held? Or at least get some stuff done despite the grilling he has gotten?
Let us know what you think below!
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